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North American Construction Group (NOA)

NOA Q1 2025: Backlog hits record $4B on 100% contract renewals

Reported on May 15, 2025 (After Market Close)
Pre-Earnings Price$17.25Last close (May 15, 2025)
Post-Earnings Price$17.40Open (May 16, 2025)
Price Change
$0.15(+0.87%)
  • Consistent EBITDA and revenue performance: Guidance in Q2 is expected to be similar to Q1, with stable top line and EBITDA performance despite weather impacts, supporting a view of steady performance and potential EPS improvement from lower depreciation.
  • Robust contract renewals and expanding backlog: The company reported a 100% renewal rate on key contracts and is on course to grow its backlog from $3.2 billion to a record $4 billion midyear, indicating strong recurring revenue and high customer retention.
  • Enhanced operational efficiency with skilled workforce retention: Despite concerns over technician counts, management highlighted effective retention and attraction strategies for skilled labor in both Australia and Canada, which supports improvements in equipment utilization and overall operational efficiency.
  • Weather-Related Operational Risks: Severe weather impacted Q1 gross margins in Australia, dragging them down by about 5% to 7%, and could continue to negatively affect performance if abnormal conditions persist.
  • Missed Market Opportunity: The company was unsuccessful in the California infrastructure project due to a lack of local experience, raising concerns about its ability to win bids in new or strategic markets.
  • Rising Operational Costs: Increased reliance on subcontractor services—up about $18 million in Australia because of weather-related demands and new projects—could pressure margins and elevate cost risks.
  1. Seasonality Trends
    Q: How will Q2 top line and EBITDA perform?
    A: Management expects consistent top line and EBITDA performance in Q2 with a modest EPS boost due to lower depreciation and normal seasonal factors.

  2. EBITDA Cadence
    Q: What is quarterly EBITDA cadence guidance?
    A: Management projects the first half to deliver 45% and the second half 55% of EBITDA, with Q3 modestly outpacing Q4, reflecting steady execution even amid weather challenges.

  3. NCIB Flexibility
    Q: Can NCIB ease debt concerns?
    A: Management indicated they can lean on the NCIB opportunistically given strong liquidity and intrinsic share value, providing flexibility on the debt side.

  4. Oil Sands Performance
    Q: What changes are improving oil sands operations?
    A: Improved efficiency in oil sands operations and better fleet management have helped offset cold-related shutdowns, supporting modest growth expectations as seasonal impacts abate.

  5. Infrastructure Pipeline
    Q: What about infrastructure bidding and new hire?
    A: Management highlighted growing P3 opportunities and an expanding bid pipeline, reinforced by a strategic new hire to boost infrastructure business in the U.S..

  6. Contract Renewals
    Q: Update on renewals and scope expansion?
    A: With a 100% renewal rate and one expansion under review next quarter, management’s renewals are driving a boost in backlog toward a record $4 billion.

  7. Subcontractor Services
    Q: Why did subcontractor costs increase?
    A: Increases, roughly $18 million more, are due to additional subcontractor services for new work and weather-related site needs, notably at the copper mine in Australia.

  8. Weather Headwinds
    Q: Are Queensland rains impacting margins?
    A: Early rain caused short-term disruptions, but management expects conditions to normalize by quarter-end, minimizing long-term gross margin headwinds.

  9. Technician Shortfalls
    Q: Are technician shortages affecting utilization?
    A: Weather, rather than technician shortfalls, has primarily impacted utilization with strong efforts in skilled labor retention ensuring targets remain achievable.

  10. Management Confidence
    Q: How is management addressing weather risks?
    A: Management stressed that meeting guidance is paramount, and despite weather challenges, they remain focused on consistent execution and operational discipline.

  11. California Bid Loss
    Q: What’s the update on the California bid?
    A: Management acknowledged an unsuccessful bid in California due to limited regional experience, but they are actively pursuing other promising infrastructure projects.

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